Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Giannecchini Family Vineyard Zinfandel Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Daou Vineyards The Pessimist Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Bonneliere Tradition Saumur Champigny 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matchbook Red Gravel Cabernet Sauvignon Dunnigan Hills 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Kinker Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bruno Barbera d'Alba 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Three Sisters Cuvee Red Wine Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Wolftrap Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cataclysm Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Beatty Ranch Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Knotty Vines Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Spinetta Ca di Pian Barbera 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Elton Vineyard Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Nikiara Red Wine Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Joseph Drouhin Macon Villages 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penya Rouge Cotes Catalanes 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Van Duzer Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canneto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chasing Rain Red Blend Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sebastiani Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Cheze Cotes de Bordeaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Terlato and Chapoutier Shiraz Lieu Dit Malakoff Pyrenees 2017 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiolas Costera Cannonau di Sardegna 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Blend Portugal Red Blend Lisboa red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +5% if it rises |
| Changing Tides Syrah Joven 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Grange Clinet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Housleys Century Oak Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Judy's Vineyard Mokelumne River 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hubert de Bouard Chateau de Francs Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Daniel Pollier En Messie Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merryvale Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Opus One Meritage Oakville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $430 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mad Bird Dark Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paitin Barbaresco Serraboella 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Cristina Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Browne Family Forest Project Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Quattro Mani Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Dauntless Red Blend Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Brick Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mouton Cadet Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
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