Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2023 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Truchard Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineto Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Citran Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 $37.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz Australia 2022 sparkling · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vina Valoria Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.83 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Frantz Chagnoleau La Roche Saint Veran 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Bastide Saint Dominique Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $39.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Haut Medoc de Giscours Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote d'Or Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.63 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Mountain Fission Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Forge Cellars Cabernet Franc Railroad Vineyard Finger Lakes 2023 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Le Vaucrain Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Bianco Italia Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Capanna Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Petite Frog Cotes de Thau Languedoc Blanc Box 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Blue Eyed Boy Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Rosso Italia Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Virtue Cellars Tenacity GSM Red Blend Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Crossbarn Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Drappier Carte d'Or Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Christopher Lumiere Pinot Noir Eola Amity 2014 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargetto Chardonnay Regan Estate Vineyards Reserve Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sansonnet Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andre Jacquart Vertus Experience Extra Brut Blanc de Blancs Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles Smith Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Chataigniers Saint Veran Burgundy 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Gigondas Vieilles Vignes 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Blend Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Stoneridge Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domenico Clerico Barolo del Comune di Monforte d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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