Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilgal Syrah Golan Heights 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hunter's Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Johnson Estate Ives Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Montechiara Asolo Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ruby Red Provence Vin de France Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Gachon Montagne Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| E Guigal Tavel Rose 2020 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Viognier Art Den Hoed Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta de Cabriz Tinto Colheita Selecionada Dao 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Coili Senesi Tuscany 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bouchard Aine et Fils Heritage du Conseiller Chardonnay Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Canyon Road Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Terre Blanque Les Cailloux Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kenwood Vineyards Pinot Noir Monterey County Sonoma County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruca Malen Aime Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Marie Maria Greviere Madiran 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cultusboni RS Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Green Quartz Sauvignon Blanc Casablanca Valley 2022 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patria Chica Vino De Pago Ayles 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.13 $17.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Port Variety Pack 2x750 mL dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Broadbent Douro Red 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Maurines Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ilauri Salto Sangiovese Terre di Chieti red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Scarlet Vine Selected Hillside Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Estate 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Breca Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cline Family Cellars Pinot Gris Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kristof Estate Grown Rose of Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta de Cabriz White Colheita Selecionada Dao 2023 white · 750 ml | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Casa Primicia Julian Madrid Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantegril Barsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domini Tinto Douro 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mumm Napa Cuvee M red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rata Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $6.59 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Les Pierrieres Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Franc Couplet Bordeaux Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Columbia Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Foreshadow Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mezzacorona Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Sun Goddess Sauvignon Blanc Friuli 2021 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bastor Lamontagne Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Motte Maucourt Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Pin Franc Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2019 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cadre Band of Stones Gruner Veltiner Edna Valley 2021 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
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