Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vignoble Dauny Clos du Roy Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave de Lugny Les Charmes Chardonnay Macon Lugny 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Idiart Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peju Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley Legacy Collection white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Santo Wines Assyrtiko Santorini 2023 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Capvespre Sunset White Catalunya white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Sauvignon Blanc white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 31% typically +4% if it rises |
| Girard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quinta da Mariposa Dao Branco 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Costa Vermentino Toscana 2022 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Semillon Barossa Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| California Roots Sauvignon Blanc white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.99 $72.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lavico Etna Bianco 2023 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Eden Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Radio Boka Verdejo de la Tierre Castilla white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vigilance Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weis Vineyards Semi Dry Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Pinot Grigio Prendo Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Alta Mora Etna Bianco 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Crema Pinot Gris Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Chardonnay Private Selection Buttery white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +3% if it rises |
| Silver Trail Chardonnay Lodi 2023 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argiolas Costamolino Vermentino di Sardignia 2019 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maurice Schoech Pinot Blanc Cotes d'Ammerschwihr Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roscato Blanco Dolce white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Patz and Hall Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Seaglass Pinot Grigio Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Brotte Baies Dorees Viognier Pays d'Oc 2020 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Single Post Riesling Mosel 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.44 $10.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dark Horse Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Sainte Anne Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Trois Noyers Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Highflyer Centerline Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Papi Sauvignon Blanc Chile white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | ▲ 6.4% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Golden Chardonnay Monterey County 2023 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lone Birch Pinot Gris Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Zemmer Pinot Grigio 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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