Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$105——Fairly priced6%
typically +35% if it rises
Alasia Moscato d'Asti
sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 2.4%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Brut
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 2.4%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Kendall Jackson Grand Reserve Chardonnay Santa Barbara County
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 $22.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.5%18% premium6%
typically +9% if it rises
Rozes Porto Reserve
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Bota Box Nighthawk Gold Buttery Chardonnay
white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale▼ 14.3%▲ 20.0%52% below6%
typically +9% if it rises
Bota Mini Sauvignon Blanc
white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale▼ 14.3% 0.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Box Wize Pinot Noir California
red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 4.5%—Fairly priced6%
typically +4% if it rises
Hive and Honey Gewurztraminer
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.49 $11.49 Sale▲ 4.5%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.59 $16.59 Sale 0.0%▲ 10.7%Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Talbott Chardonnay Kali Hart
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$20.99 0.0%▲ 5.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut
sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +6% if it rises
Mionetto Organic Prosecco
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale▲ 1.7%▲ 5.9%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Pierre Sparr Cremant d'Alsace Brut Rose
sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +6% if it rises
Taylor Fladgate Tawny Port 30 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$148 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Castello Banfi Rosso di Montalcino
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$30.49▲ 1.7%▲ 22.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Krug Champagne Grande Cuvee
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$200 0.0%▲ 17.6%Fairly priced6%
typically +11% if it rises
Savory and James Deluxe Amontillado Medium Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 15 Year Old
dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$53.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $15.99 Sale 0.0%—4% premium6%
typically +6% if it rises
Vignerons de Mancey Cremant de Bourgogne Brut Reserve
sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99▲ 15.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Stella Rosa L'Originale Strawberry Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.49▲ 3.1%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Turning Leaf Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 6.3%10% premium6%
typically +5% if it rises
Ridge Vineyards Three Valley Red Blend Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99▲ 2.0%▲ 20.7%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Arbor Mist Blackberry Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.99 0.0%▲ 27.3%27% below6%
typically +9% if it rises
MD 20 20 Banana Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.19 0.0%▲ 24.0%56% below6%
typically +12% if it rises
Clos du Val Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99 0.0%▲ 20.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Korbel Sweet Rose California Champagne
sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99▲ 5.6%▲ 18.8%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Rozes 20 Years Old Port
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99 0.0%—168% premium6%
typically +7% if it rises
Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 $22.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.5%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%—6% premium6%
typically +4% if it rises
Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%—4% premium6%
typically +4% if it rises
Barefoot Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Pink Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Pinot Grigio
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Red Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Riesling
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Line 39 Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $11.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 9.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +12% if it rises
Peter Vella Chablis
white · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 0.0%▲ 15.0%10% below6%
typically +5% if it rises
Peter Vella Chardonnay
white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 0.0%▲ 15.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Chalk Hill Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%—42% below6%
typically +4% if it rises
Apothic Red Winemaker's Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99▼ 6.7%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Arbor Mist Mango Strawberry Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced5%
typically +12% if it rises
Arbor Mist Peach Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%2% below5%
typically +12% if it rises
Arbor Mist Pink Raspberry Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%4% below5%
typically +12% if it rises
Black Box Brilliant Collection Chardonnay
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99▲ 4.2%—Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Black Box Brilliant Collection Pinot Grigio
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99▲ 4.2%—Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99▲ 4.2%—5% premium5%
typically +4% if it rises
1,151–1,200 of 9,968← PreviousNext →