Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darioush Caravan Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.13 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V21 Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2023 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $31.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Paul Autard Ronde Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Pauly Bergweiler Bernkasteler Badstube Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Petit Chablis 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Riesling Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rene Geoffroy Expression Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Supery Elu Red Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Cote d'Or Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck The Steading Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rozes Infanta Isabel Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Vieille Cure Fronsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Pinson Mont de Milieu Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.73 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.43 $36.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aichinger Roter Traminer Kamptal 2021 red · 500 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Vineyards Mt Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Offerus Saint Joseph Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chateau des Jacques Morgon Cru Beaujolais 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Monte Obispo Single Vineyard Tempranillo Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Gewurztraminer Reserve Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | <1% |
| Vivier Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bollinger Special Cuvee Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | ▼ 23.9% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Tour Saint Christophe Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling GG Alte Reben 2021 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison L Envoye Two Messengers Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Panthera Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Spinelli Montepulciano Cannister red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waris Larmandier Racines de Trois Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chevalier de la Cree Knights Templar Cuvee Pinot Noir Cote de Beaune 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $48.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Epiphany Rodney's Vineyards Mourvedre Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria Felsina Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Robin Vosgros Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Chapelle AX B Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,151–1,200 of 2,525← PreviousNext →