Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fish Eye Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 5% premium | 5% |
| Nissley Niagara White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Yellow Tail Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 4% below | 5% |
| Yellow Tail Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Blue Mountain Bri's Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Jacob's Creek Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.39 $9.39 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hartley And Gibson Pedro Ximenez Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 5% |
| Jacob's Creek Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | 30% below | 5% |
| La Crema Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 9.1% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Alvear Cream Sherry Montilla Moriles dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Alvear Fino Sherry Montilla Moriles dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 68% below | 5% |
| Decoy Brut Cuvee sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Dr Loosen Sekt Riesling Extra Dry NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| E Guigal Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Gustave Lorentz Cremant d'Alsace sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Aveleda Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Prophecy Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Walter S Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Jeunesse Cabernet Sauvignon Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cecchi Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 35.3% | 52% premium | 5% |
| Manischewitz Cream Red Concord red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Trivento Malbec Mendoza Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Gustave Lorentz Brut Rose Cremant d'Alsace sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Murphy Goode Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 24% below | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | 24% below | 5% |
| Jam Jar Sweet Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Vieille Ferme Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Mazza Vineyards Country Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Paxis Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Decoy Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.83 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 63% premium | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 1% premium | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| J Lohr Seven Oaks Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.5% | 43% premium | 4% |
| Septima Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kris Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $14.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pares Balta Pink Brut Cava de Garda sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
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