Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Poggio Guerriero Falanghina Beneventano 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Meadowcroft Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut Rose 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Il Carnasciale Ottantadue Valdarno di Sopra 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Relais du Roi Principaute d'Orange IGP 2023 red · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $56.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Positivo Tinto Bairrada red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $67.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Recanati David's Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee Reserve 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.03 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Hauts de Janeil Blanc Cotes Catalanes 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Sahari Beni N'Tir Gris Cuvee Morocco 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti Vermentino Umbria 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paula Kornell Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Mingle Blood Orange Elderflower Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta Degli Dei Le Redini Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Penamonte Coleccion Privada Toro Tinto 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| I Campi Campo Base Soave 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Veeder Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Snowden Vineyards Merlot Lost Vineyard Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bixby Creek Bridge Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.09 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.53 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angels Ink Rose Central Coast 2021 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donati Family Vineyard Claret Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenute Ca 'Botta Alta Valpolicella Ripasso Superiore 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.49 | ▲ 2.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cerro Chapeu Reserva Tannat 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Vullien et Fils Jacquere Savoie Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini San Biagio Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlas Peak American Super Tuscan Blend Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| French Escape Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raymond District Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vignerons Ardechois Viognier 2025 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cuatro Rayas Vinedos Centenarios Verdejo Rueda 2023 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Mas des Falaises Cairanne 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pommery Grand Cru Royal Brut Champagne 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $44.73 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Moraia Il Pacchia Rosso Maremma 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| And Why am I Mr Pink Rose Columbia Valley 2021 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lodi Ave Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chronic Cellars Sir Real Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Inglenook Rubicon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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