Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poggio Anima Asmodeus Nero d'Avola Sicilia red · Sicily · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Poggio Anima Samael Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Box Wize Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | 24% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Dolce Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Gold Sparkling 2x750 mL Multipack sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Apothic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Perriere Sancerre white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.1% | 67% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| A to Z Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Macon Villages Chardonnay white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Taittinger Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.8% | 35% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Masi Costasera Amarone Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Warre's Warrior Reserve Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tio Pepe Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Apothic White Winemaker's Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Decoy Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Decoy Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Sherry Cream dessert · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Sherry Dry dessert · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Black Box Dolce Semi Sweet Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Sangiovese red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Valpolicella Veneto red · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Croft Pink Port Douro Valley Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| La Crema Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +22% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.49 $37.99 Clearance | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Reserve Brut sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.3% | 35% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Laurent Perrier Champagne Brut Rose Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $99.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 48% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat A Grown Up Stocking Stuffer Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Box Wize Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | 7% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
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