Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Pinot Noir Russian River Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced5%
typically +8% if it rises
Outerbound Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saxon Brown Fighting Brothers Zinfandel Sonoma Valley 2015
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Argento Single Vineyard Finca Altamira Malbec Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Dievole Vigna di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Graacher Himmelreich 2023
white · 750 ml
$43.19 $71.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lula Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2019
white · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Giacomo Fenocchio Barolo Bussia 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$62.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard BV Cabernet Sauvignon Maestro Collection Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Brotte Les Hauts de Barville Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020
white · Rhone · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Demarie Barolo Classico 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Le Cadeau Estate Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$12.93 $45.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lava Cap Cabernet Sauvignon Sierra Foothills 2020
red · 750 ml
$20.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Piper Heidsieck Champagne Extra Dry
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.73 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 14.0%Fairly priced1%
BR Cohn Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Isabelle Garrault Pinot Noir Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rouge 2019
white · Loire · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ridgecrest Estate Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Carr Revelist Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2020
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chalk Hill Estate Bottled Chardonnay Chalk Hill Appellation Sonoma County 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolias Morgon Cote du Py 2024
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$26.99——Fairly priced1%
Michel Sarrazin Pinot Noir Sous La Roche Givry Rouge 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine de la Charbonnierre Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$42.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frog's Leap Merlot Rutherford 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99——Fairly priced1%
Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Blanc 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jean Paul Brun Terres Dorees Morgon 2018
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$25.79 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2012
dessert · 500 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$16.73 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Freemark Abbey Merlot Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $46.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Venge Vineyards Scout's Honor Proprietary Red Wine California 2021
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Whitehall Lane Merlot Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$44.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,101–1,150 of 2,525← PreviousNext →