Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Outerbound Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Fighting Brothers Zinfandel Sonoma Valley 2015 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argento Single Vineyard Finca Altamira Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dievole Vigna di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lula Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2019 white · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giacomo Fenocchio Barolo Bussia 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Cabernet Sauvignon Maestro Collection Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brotte Les Hauts de Barville Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Demarie Barolo Classico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lava Cap Cabernet Sauvignon Sierra Foothills 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| BR Cohn Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Pinot Noir Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Carr Revelist Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chalk Hill Estate Bottled Chardonnay Chalk Hill Appellation Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolias Morgon Cote du Py 2024 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Michel Sarrazin Pinot Noir Sous La Roche Givry Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonnierre Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Merlot Rutherford 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Paul Brun Terres Dorees Morgon 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2012 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Freemark Abbey Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Venge Vineyards Scout's Honor Proprietary Red Wine California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,101–1,150 of 2,525← PreviousNext →