Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dunham Shirley Mays Chardonnay 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famille Durand Sauvignon Blanc Loire 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca el Origen Torrontes Reserva Uco Valley 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Mendocino County Pinot Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Itellego The Story of Harry White Blend Swartland 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Cuvee Lunatique Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Txomin Etxaniz White Getariako Txakolina 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaffurs State Street Chardonnay Central Coast 2022 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kith and Kin Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Sauvignon Blanc Southwest France 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Idiart Sauvignon Blanc Touraine Loire Valley 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Seaglass Riesling Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arbor Mist Mango Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Franzia Refreshing White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Old Coach Road by Seifried Family Sauvignon Blanc Nelson 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutter's Semillon Barossa Valley 2022 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Faustino Art Collection White Rioja 2021 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Z Alexander Brown Chardonnay Uncaged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 2.8% | ▲ 15.6% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Alexakis Assyrtiko Crete 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bedrock Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Chardonnay white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi 2021 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Alta Mora Etna Bianco 2020 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Viognier Cotes du Rhone 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Latour Pouilly Fuisse white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ten Sisters Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Dry Creek Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Sauvignon Blanc Southwest France 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +6% if it rises |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| XXL Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +22% if it rises |
| Cune Blanco Rioja white · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eradus Ana Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Famille Durand Sauvignon Blanc Loire 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Farrington Sauvignon Blanc South Africa 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Italian Christmas White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Recanati Yasmin White Upper Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| SeaGlass Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
1,101–1,150 of 2,882← PreviousNext →