Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$7.93 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dunham Shirley Mays Chardonnay 2019
white · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Famille Durand Sauvignon Blanc Loire 2025
white · Loire · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Finca el Origen Torrontes Reserva Uco Valley 2022
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Chardonnay Carneros 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Girasole Vineyards Mendocino County Pinot Blanc 2023
white · 750 ml
$13.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Itellego The Story of Harry White Blend Swartland 2022
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J Christopher Cuvee Lunatique Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Txomin Etxaniz White Getariako Txakolina 2024
white · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Adrien Besson Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.19 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jaffurs State Street Chardonnay Central Coast 2022
white · Central Coast · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Kith and Kin Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced<1%
Lionel Osmin and Cie Sauvignon Blanc Southwest France 2021
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Maison Idiart Sauvignon Blanc Touraine Loire Valley 2024
white · Loire · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Seaglass Riesling Santa Barbara County
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 16.7%Fairly priced1%
Arbor Mist Mango Strawberry Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced5%
typically +12% if it rises
Franzia Refreshing White
white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$20.99 0.0%▲ 16.7%Fairly priced5%
Old Coach Road by Seifried Family Sauvignon Blanc Nelson 2023
white · 750 ml
$8.13 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Torbreck Woodcutter's Semillon Barossa Valley 2022
white · Barossa · 750 ml
$10.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barefoot Pink Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc
white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +9% if it rises
Bogle Vineyards Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.13 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Faustino Art Collection White Rioja 2021
white · Rioja · 750 ml
$7.43 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Natura Organic Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▲ 3.5%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced3%
Z Alexander Brown Chardonnay Uncaged
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 2.8%▲ 15.6%Fairly priced25%
typically +4% if it rises
le Fat Bastard Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +6% if it rises
Alexakis Assyrtiko Crete 2021
white · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bedrock Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Valley 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Concha y Toro Frontera Chardonnay
white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99▲ 8.3%▲ 18.2%Fairly priced2%
Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi 2021
white · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cusumano Alta Mora Etna Bianco 2020
white · Sicily · 750 ml
$14.73 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Les Grands Bois Viognier Cotes du Rhone 2023
white · Rhone · 750 ml
$18.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Latour Pouilly Fuisse
white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Ten Sisters Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos du Bois Buttery Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▼ 6.3%—Fairly priced8%
typically +7% if it rises
Dry Creek Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Dry Creek Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lionel Osmin and Cie Sauvignon Blanc Southwest France 2020
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
The Calling Chardonnay Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$33.99▲ 9.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced22%
typically +6% if it rises
Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough
white · Marlborough · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%▲ 30.0%Fairly priced15%
typically +5% if it rises
XXL Peach Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +9% if it rises
Yellow Tail Pink Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.99 $7.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +22% if it rises
Cune Blanco Rioja
white · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +7% if it rises
Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2022
white · 750 ml
$4.93 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Eradus Ana Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Famille Durand Sauvignon Blanc Loire 2024
white · Loire · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Farrington Sauvignon Blanc South Africa 2025
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.99 $9.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Italian Christmas White
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99▲ 10.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced14%
typically +7% if it rises
Recanati Yasmin White Upper Galilee 2020
white · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
SeaGlass Chardonnay Central Coast
white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
1,101–1,150 of 2,882← PreviousNext →