Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrage Cellars Double Barrel Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2015 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Perrier et Fils Altus Apremont Savoie 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voces El Viajero Red Blend Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flavs Soave Classico 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luciano Ercolino Rajamagra Taurasi Riserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 1413 2021 dessert · 500 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Redemption Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Custard Chardonnay Sonoma Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau de Segure Fitou Rouge 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Barbaresco 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 375 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2018 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.43 $122 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricasoli Castello di Brolio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Cristina Fattoria Le Maestrelle Rosso Toscana 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Gelber Muskateller 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $121 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $250 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $77.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.93 $121 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Signae Sagrantino di Montefalco 2015 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Fruity Red Sangria red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Glenelly Glass Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Method Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warre's Otima Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgo Lame Ghita Roero Arneis 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Il Poggio Guerriero Falanghina Beneventano 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Family Heritage Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Saint Joseph Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fortnight Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti Vermentino Umbria 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montresor Amarone della Valpolicella 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Voche Rioja Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bottega Gold Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Roubine La Vie en Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Barcelo Ile de Beaute Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fossil Point Pinot Noir Edna Valley 2017 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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