Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JL Chave Selection Farconnet Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro and Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2012 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $66.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bedrock Old Vine Zinfandel 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Pacheca Late Bottled Port 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Venge Vineyards Silencieux Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Unity GSM Red Blend Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2019 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Resonance Founder's Blocks Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Unshackled Cabernet Sauvignon Santa Ynez valley 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Bourgogne 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.53 $73.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Red Blend Oakville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 $60.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi Riserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino Nastagio 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lanessan Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elena Fucci SCEG Aglianico del Vulture 2018 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pian delle Vigne Rosso di Montalcino 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Benjamin et David Duclaux La Germine Cote Rotie 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cortonesi Poggiarelli Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel en Aarde 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Pinot Noir Reserve 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Miller Ranch Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2020 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.13 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| HALL Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Guardoilvento Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paloumey Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orin Swift Machete 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Pargues Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $73.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Syrah Santa Barbara County 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grand Fossil Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2025 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | 4% premium | 1% |
| Duckhorn Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Post and Beam Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three French Hens Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
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