Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2023
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$19.99——Fairly priced<1%
iLauri Chiola Cerasuolo d'Abruzzo 2021
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ca' Bolani Pinot Grigio Friuli 2020
white · Friuli · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Maison De Madeleine Brut Vin Mousseux France
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99——Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Sarah's Vineyard Dwarf Oak Pinot Noir Santa Clara Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale▼ 14.3%▲ 20.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +9% if it rises
Codorniu Clasico Brut Organic
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99——Fairly priced7%
typically +9% if it rises
Humble Bunch Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Renacer Punto Final Malbec Classico Mendoza 2024
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.63 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calabuig Macabeo Valencia 2021
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kiwi Gold Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Bellecoste Carignan Blanc 2024
white · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +9% if it rises
Domaine Romy Les Pierres Dorees Beaujolais Rouge 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Sokol Blosser Evolution Pinot Noir Oregon Box 2019
red · Oregon · 1500 ml
$24.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Beso Del Sol Rose Sangria
rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.24 $4.49 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Smiling Donkey Red Douro 2023
red · Douro · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Two Vintners City Limits Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022
white · Washington · 750 ml
$5.03 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bergevin Lane Vineyards Linen Red Blend Columbia Valley
red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cune Albarino Rias Baixas 2023
white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
E Guigal Tavel Rose 2021
rosé · Rhone · 750 ml
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fess Parker Riesling Santa Barbara County 2019
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Kotrotsos Mavrodaphne 2018
red · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pine Ridge Chenin Blanc Viognier 2024
white · 750 ml
$12.99——Fairly priced1%
Seghesio Family Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma County Monterey County 2021
white · Monterey · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vendange Pinot Grigio
white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.49▼ 8.3%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced3%
Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.73 $15.49 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.7%Fairly priced1%
Franzia Refreshers Peach Moscato
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.79 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine du Chapitre Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021
white · Loire · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Martini and Rossi Asti
sparkling · Piedmont · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%▲ 12.5%Fairly priced13%
typically +8% if it rises
Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99▼ 7.7%▼ 7.7%Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Tenuta Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2018
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
The Eyrie Vineyards Trifolium Red Blend Willamette Valley Dundee Hills 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$7.23 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Batard Langelier Les Prieres Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Familia Traversa Tannat Uruguay 2019
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Contesse Prosecco Single Fermentation Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99——Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Trapiche Oak Cask Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza
red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $9.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Andre Spumante
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%▲ 25.0%Fairly priced12%
typically +11% if it rises
Black Cottage Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Family Bezel Chardonnay San Luis Odispo Coast 2023
white · 750 ml
$19.99 $24.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Courac Cotes du Rhone Villages Laudun Rouge 2018
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire 2019
sparkling · Loire · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cune Bela Ribera del Duero Tinto 2023
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine de Belle Mare Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2024
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Liberty Creek Sweet Red
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced4%
Maison Darragon Le Haut des Ruettes Chenin Blanc Vouvray 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,051–1,100 of 6,416← PreviousNext →