Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| iLauri Chiola Cerasuolo d'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca' Bolani Pinot Grigio Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison De Madeleine Brut Vin Mousseux France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Sarah's Vineyard Dwarf Oak Pinot Noir Santa Clara Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Codorniu Clasico Brut Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Humble Bunch Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renacer Punto Final Malbec Classico Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calabuig Macabeo Valencia 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiwi Gold Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bellecoste Carignan Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Romy Les Pierres Dorees Beaujolais Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Pinot Noir Oregon Box 2019 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beso Del Sol Rose Sangria rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smiling Donkey Red Douro 2023 red · Douro · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners City Limits Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergevin Lane Vineyards Linen Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cune Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Tavel Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Riesling Santa Barbara County 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kotrotsos Mavrodaphne 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pine Ridge Chenin Blanc Viognier 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma County Monterey County 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vendange Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | ▼ 8.3% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Refreshers Peach Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Chapitre Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martini and Rossi Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2018 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Eyrie Vineyards Trifolium Red Blend Willamette Valley Dundee Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Batard Langelier Les Prieres Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Familia Traversa Tannat Uruguay 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Contesse Prosecco Single Fermentation Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Trapiche Oak Cask Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Andre Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Black Cottage Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Chardonnay San Luis Odispo Coast 2023 white · 750 ml | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Courac Cotes du Rhone Villages Laudun Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire 2019 sparkling · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cune Bela Ribera del Duero Tinto 2023 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Belle Mare Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Liberty Creek Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Maison Darragon Le Haut des Ruettes Chenin Blanc Vouvray 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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