Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leth Gruner Veltliner Ried Steinagrund Wagram 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raw Bar Vinho Verde 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Chardonnay Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Sauvignon Blanc Tupungato 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Sixto Uncovered Chardonnay 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elios Modus Bibendi Bianco Terre Siciliane 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacquin's Creme de Cacao White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Roaming Dog Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Ridgecrest Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominique Crochet Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Trebbiano d'Abruzzo Biologico 2020 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Noble Vines 446 Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bent Coast Chardonnay Santa Barbara County 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave de Lugny Les Charmes Chardonnay Macon Lugny 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Pinot Gris Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vieille Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Novas Organic Chardonnay Casablanca Valley Gran Reserva 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Le Haut de la Roche Pouilly Fuisse Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Monopole Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mulderbosch Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Pinot Gris Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 2 Canos Cheerful Frizzante Blanco Peach and Apricot Le Mache white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.19 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Pinot Grigio Colli Orientali del Friuli 2023 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramon Bilbao Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Pink Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.13 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bucket List Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Menage a Trois Moscato Sweet White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Adelsheim Staking Claim Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Cedre Blandine Cotes de Gascogne Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Sauvignon Blanc white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Chardonnay Macon Villages Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bota Box Breeze Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Browne Bitner Estate Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fage Graves de Vayres Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cor Cellars Alba Cor White Blend Columbia Gorge 2023 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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