Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Bookwalter Foreshadow Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $800 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $95.99 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits The Citizen Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hierogram Zinfandel Vineyard Block No 8 Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salomon Estate Norwood Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon Adelaide 2018 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Au Contraire Pinot Noir Lawler Vineyard Carneros 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nurnberger Markt Gluhwein Germany Red red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Piccini Chianti Orange Label red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stephanie et Arnaud Celliers des Marnes Dezat Menetou Salon 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Lantignie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sforno Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Signature Malbec Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ferriere Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colin Barollet Montagny Les Bouchots 1er Cru 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Familia Chavarri Izarbe Rioja Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| I Greppi Greppicante Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coizet Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Resoluto 2015 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Estate 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Amadieu Roulepierre Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $48.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Cabanne Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru Les Champgains 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fidelitas Winery m100 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Solena Estate Pinot Noir Grande Cuvee Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Triacca La Madonnina Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brick House House Red Blend Ribbon Ridge red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacoby Dornfelder Rheinhessen 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Remhoogte Soaring Eagle Red Blend Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Shafer One Point Five Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Spellbinder Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Commune de la Mora 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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