Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
House of the Dragon Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
House of the Dragon Red Wine Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—10% premium1%
Mas Malbec Mendoza 2023
red · Mendoza · 1000 ml
$9.99——33% below1%
Pombal do Vesuvio Douro 2022
red · Douro · 750 ml
$30.99 $32.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023
red · 1000 ml
$64.99——Fairly priced1%
Vignerons de Puisseguin Lussac Peraclos Montagne Saint Emilion 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.99——Fairly priced1%
1000 Stories Gold Rush Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.47 $20.79 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced1%
Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.33 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Blend Golan Heights Israel 2022
red · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray Demi Sec 2024
red · Loire · 750 ml
$16.99——Fairly priced1%
Matthews Cuvee Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Whitehall Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bodegas Roda Rioja Sela 2023
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$38.99 0.0%—80% premium1%
Buoy Ten Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$14.99——47% below1%
Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2024
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$23.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Skouras Zoe Red Peloponnese 2024
red · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Douloufakis Femina Malvasia 2024
red · 750 ml
$21.99——Fairly priced1%
Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$59.99——Fairly priced1%
Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$59.99——74% premium1%
Dancing Crow Old Stake Field Blend Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
Dezzani Il Cavaliere Barbera Piemonte 2024
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$8.99——Fairly priced1%
Don Cristobal Cristobal 1492 Bonarda Mendoza 2024
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Natura Cabernet Sauvignon 375 mL
red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.99 $5.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$55.99 $59.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Chanson Beaune 1er Cru Clos des Marconnets 2021
red · 750 ml
$58.99 $64.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Exceptional Selections of California Red 4x375mL Variety Pack
red · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Cave les Coteaux du Rhone Tradition Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2024
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—30% premium1%
Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$30.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$45.99——Fairly priced1%
Petit Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023
red · 750 ml
$49.99——214% premium1%
Santa Ema Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2022
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$15.99——Fairly priced1%
Cakebread Family Bezel Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$24.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cluster F Grenache Yakima Valley 2023
red · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine du Clos des poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2022
red · 750 ml
$36.99——Fairly priced1%
Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2023
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$25.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Plungerhead Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.63 $18.69 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced1%
Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$28.99——Fairly priced1%
EG by Educated Guess Red Blend Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.33 $23.89 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.9%Fairly priced1%
Neleman Organic Vineyards Bobal Oolong 2022
red · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Priest Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$59.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$41.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Matthews Claret Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$15.93 $51.99 Clearance 0.0%—145% premium1%
Carmel Selected Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.93 $11.39 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.6%Fairly priced1%
Ghost Pines Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.73 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.5%Fairly priced1%
Manischewitz Cream Red Concord
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.1%33% below1%
My Favorite Neighbor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—166% premium1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2022
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$44.99——Fairly priced1%
Arnoux et Fils Vieux Clocher Symphonie des Galets Chateauneuf du Pape 2023
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
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