Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House of the Dragon Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| House of the Dragon Red Wine Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 1% |
| Mas Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 1000 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 33% below | 1% |
| Pombal do Vesuvio Douro 2022 red · Douro · 750 ml | $30.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 1000 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vignerons de Puisseguin Lussac Peraclos Montagne Saint Emilion 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 1000 Stories Gold Rush Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Blend Golan Heights Israel 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray Demi Sec 2024 red · Loire · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matthews Cuvee Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Roda Rioja Sela 2023 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 1% |
| Buoy Ten Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Red Peloponnese 2024 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Douloufakis Femina Malvasia 2024 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 74% premium | 1% |
| Dancing Crow Old Stake Field Blend Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dezzani Il Cavaliere Barbera Piemonte 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Don Cristobal Cristobal 1492 Bonarda Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Natura Cabernet Sauvignon 375 mL red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chanson Beaune 1er Cru Clos des Marconnets 2021 red · 750 ml | $58.99 $64.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Exceptional Selections of California Red 4x375mL Variety Pack red · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Cave les Coteaux du Rhone Tradition Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2024 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Petit Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | 214% premium | 1% |
| Santa Ema Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cluster F Grenache Yakima Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Clos des poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $36.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Plungerhead Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| EG by Educated Guess Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.33 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Neleman Organic Vineyards Bobal Oolong 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Priest Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matthews Claret Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | 1% |
| Carmel Selected Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ghost Pines Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Manischewitz Cream Red Concord red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 33% below | 1% |
| My Favorite Neighbor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | 1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arnoux et Fils Vieux Clocher Symphonie des Galets Chateauneuf du Pape 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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