Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.53 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turley Zinfandel Fredericks Vineyard Sonoma Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Guadalupe Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.49 $37.99 Clearance | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 50.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Valo Atemporal Red Blend Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine In Books Organic White Spain 2021 white · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Succession Wines Conner Lee Chardonnay Wahluke Slope 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Board Track Racer The Chief Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grevino Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 10 Year Old Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Samsara Pinot Noir Sta Rita Hills 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger FIFA Special Edition Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles 2020 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Enfield Wine Co Pretty Horses California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.23 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Pedestal Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moutard Champagne Brut Grand Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 $44.99 Sale | ▲ 21.6% | ▲ 40.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collonge Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Tribute Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Grenache Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Pinot Noir Gap's Crown Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $36.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mouzon Leroux et Fils L'atavique Tradition Extra Brut Champagne Grand Cru Non Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $46.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Post and Beam Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2024 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Christophe Mittnacht Organic Terres d'etoiles Cuvee Extra Brut Cremant d'Alsace 2022 sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Pinot Noir Dundee Hills Bella Vida Vineyard 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kenwood Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Jack London Vineyard Sonoma Mountain red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
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