Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Line 39 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Chablis white · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 10% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chalk Hill Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Apothic Red Winemaker's Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Mango Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2% below | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Pink Raspberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4% below | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Black Box Brilliant Collection Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Brilliant Collection Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Avia Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Freixenet Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | ▼ 3.7% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ghost Pines Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.5% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Black Box Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 1% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Freakshow Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 13.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Korbel Extra Dry California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Korbel Sweet Cuvee California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Courtyard Winery Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Cribari Cellars Chianti red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Demarie Luigi Vino Frizzante Roero Rose rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gruet Blanc de Noirs Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Dona Paula Estate Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Willm Rose Pinot Noir Cremant D'Alsace Brut Methode Traditionelle sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| 7 Deadly Zins Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | 14% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Baron Herzog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine Desire Petit Cremant du Jura sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie 2x750 mL white · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Morgan Sauvignon Blanc Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| St Supery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Gold Sparkling California sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Adams County Winery Rebel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Predator Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.79 $19.79 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
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