Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albrecht Durer Nurnberger Gluhwein White white · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boundary Breaks Riesling Medium Dry OLN Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Downes Family Sanctuary Peak Sauvignon Blanc Elgin 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Dry Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Spencer Special Cuvee Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Ray Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| A to Z Wineworks Chardonnay Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chatelain Desjacques Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2022 white · 750 ml | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kressman Monopole Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Blanc Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weis Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yealands Reserve Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 14 Hands Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi La Pettegola Vermentino Toscana 2020 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pfaffl Vom Haus Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars The Magician Riesling Ancient Lakes 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stillman Street Chardonnay Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Generation III Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kunde Family Winery Chardonnay Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paua Rock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bota Mini Sauvignon Blanc white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cave de Lugny Les Charmes Chardonnay Macon Lugny 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Farrington Chenin Blanc South Africa 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hermann J Wiemer Semi Dry Riesling Seneca Lake Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Heid PUR Riesling Wurttemberg 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau D?Emeringes Vielle Vignes Beaujolais Blanc 2024 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2020 white · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corvidae Mirth Chardonnay Washington 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde Medium Sweet white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +13% if it rises |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner 2021 white · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mi Terruno Uvas Torrontes Santa Rosa County Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lobster Reef Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.98 $14.24 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Sparr Riesling Grand Reserve Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fantinel Tenuta Sant'Helena Rocciaponca Pinot Grigio Collio 2024 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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