Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vineyard 29 Aida Estate Zinfandel St Helena Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Dedication Syrah Reserve Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Afeni Ortrugo dei Colli Piacentini Frizzante 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coelho Bunny Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conde de Vidigueira Reserva Tinto Alentejo 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Albert Morot Beaune Toussaints 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fossil Point Pinot Noir Edna Valley 2018 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $7.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gilgal Syrah Golan Heights 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Johnson Estate Ives Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gachon Montagne Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.53 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta de Cabriz Tinto Colheita Selecionada Dao 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Coili Senesi Tuscany 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $91.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Terre Blanque Les Cailloux Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Storrs Winery Pinot Noir Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kenwood Vineyards Pinot Noir Monterey County Sonoma County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ruca Malen Aime Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Marie Maria Greviere Madiran 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos d'Estournel Saint Estephe 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cultusboni RS Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.43 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patria Chica Vino De Pago Ayles 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.13 $17.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broadbent Douro Red 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Maurines Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Pegaso Red Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ilauri Salto Sangiovese Terre di Chieti red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Scarlet Vine Selected Hillside Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Estate 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa al Cortile Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Casa Primicia Julian Madrid Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantegril Barsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domini Tinto Douro 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mumm Napa Cuvee M red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Beaumont Les Pierrieres Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Franc Couplet Bordeaux Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Columbia Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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