Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menage a Trois Moscato Sweet White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tolino Vineyards Mama's Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Louis Roederer Collection 242 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +4% if it rises |
| Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne With 2 Flutes Gift Set sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $162 | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Merlot California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.5% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▼ 2.3% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Brilla Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +7% if it rises |
| Vinedos Juegos Clasicos Escoba Malbec Mendoza Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | 39% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sorrenti Cherry Valley Vineyards Raspberry Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Box Wize Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chalk Hill Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| H Billiot Fils Champagne Brut Reserve Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 $56.99 Sale | ▼ 8.1% | — | 18% below | 16% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mazarini Prosecco DOC Italy sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | 5% below | 15% typically +9% if it rises |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +10% if it rises |
| Perrier Jouet Champagne Grand Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 20.4% | 31% below | 15% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cavit Rose Trevenezie rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| LifeVine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| California Roots Pinot Grigio white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +11% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +6% if it rises |
| Saracina Soul of Mendocino Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mouton Cadet x Mathilde Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| te Pa Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.8% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Waris Larmandier Racines de Trois Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Collection Sparkling Brut Rose Hawke's Bay sparkling · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | ▼ 60.0% | 49% below | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Emilio Lustau East India Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +12% if it rises |
| Culitos Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Culitos Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Red Newt Cellars Blue Newt White Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Vynecrest Vineyards and Winery Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Rosato Emilia Romagna rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 14% typically +14% if it rises |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +10% if it rises |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce red · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $4.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +9% if it rises |
| Digby Fine English Brut English Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $51.99 $56.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Digby Leander Pink Brut Rose English Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 177% premium | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Rose Gold rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
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