Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sorrenti Cherry Valley Vineyards Raspberry Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Box Wize Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chalk Hill Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mazarini Prosecco DOC Italy sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | 5% below | 15% typically +9% if it rises |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cavit Rose Trevenezie rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| LifeVine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| California Roots Pinot Grigio white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +11% if it rises |
| Mouton Cadet x Mathilde Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| te Pa Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.8% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Collection Sparkling Brut Rose Hawke's Bay sparkling · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | ▼ 60.0% | 49% below | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +12% if it rises |
| Culitos Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Culitos Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Red Newt Cellars Blue Newt White Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Vynecrest Vineyards and Winery Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Rosato Emilia Romagna rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 14% typically +14% if it rises |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +10% if it rises |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce red · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $4.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +9% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Rose Gold rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Smith and Hook Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Italian Christmas White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cavicchioli 1928 Prosecco Holiday Edition sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| California Roots Chardonnay white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| I Castelli Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Smith and Hook Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Arundel Cellars Soulmates Blush Lake Erie rosé · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 8% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +9% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 2% premium | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nobilo Silver Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| 14 Hands Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chaddsford Sunset Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Portell Cava Brut Rosado NV sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
| Dona Paula Estate Black Edition Bold Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| J Roget Brut Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cupcake Citruskissed Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Martini and Rossi Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
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