Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascina San Lorenzo Barbera d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 25 Sparkling Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Montechiara Asolo Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Heidsieck and Company Monopole Blue Top Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Herbert Beaufort Carte d'Or Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bottega Gold Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.43 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Champagne Pointillard Leroy Fondations 1910 Brut Premier Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Prince Alexandre Cremant de Loire Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Desire Petit Cremant du Jura sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Charles Roux Rose Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenute Neirano Tirteo Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2019 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juve Y Camps Reserva de la Familia Grand Reserva Brut Nature Cava 2018 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moutard Champagne Brut Grand Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lanson Le Black Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Roederer Estate Brut Anderson Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $35.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 33.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Bubbly Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Henriot Champagne Millesime 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Anges Cuvee Reserve Methode Traditionnelle Brut Vin de France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Adulting Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Gatao Sparkling Wine Reserve sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Berlucchi '61 Extra Brut Franciacorta sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Korbel Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Korbel Sweet Cuvee California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dezzani Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saint Hilaire Cremant de Limoux Brut Rose 2022 sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Emendi Nuallonge Cava Semi Sec 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $4.33 $14.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Korbel Natural Sparkling Russian River Valley sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2018 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| It's a Head Snapper Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Lete Vautrain Zero Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| J Roget Brut Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Laurent Perrier La Cuvee Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Pharrell Imperial Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Roger Goulart Gran Reserva Josep Valls Cava Extra Brut 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Roederer Collection 243 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moon Tree Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Codorniu Limited Edition Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Old Kakheti Sparkling Pink Georgia 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Riondo Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Andre Delorme Blanc de Blanc Brut Reserve sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacques Bardelot Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.03 $41.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pomme Doublee Apple Spritz Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Champagne Philippe Gonet Ter Noir Extra Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Alfredo Bertolani Dolce Fiore Lambrusco sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
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