Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia's Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2023 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Pinot Noir Rose Central Otago 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Richards Wild Irish Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine La Cadeniere Leonie Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonny Doon Vin Gris Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Rose Chockablock Napa Valley 2022 rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +15% if it rises |
| Presque Isle Wine Cellars Creekside Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Vina Real Rosado Rioja 2024 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mazza Vineyards The Perfect Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Villaviva Cotes de Thau Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Miraval Cote de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Breca Rose Spain 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Rose Trevenezie rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fabre En Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre en Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| And Why am I Mr Pink Rose Columbia Valley 2024 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Anges Val de Loire Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Rosato 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gazela Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Rose 2x1.5 L Multipack rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Rose Colchagua Valley Estate 2021 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Rose of Pinot Noir Russian River Valley rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rosado Rioja 2022 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Summer Water Rose Central Coast rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tolino Vineyards Mama's Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Rose Blauen Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Rose Gold rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blue Mountain Bri's Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bernard Magrez Bleu de Mer Rose Pays d'Oc 2020 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Rose Blauen Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Isabella Sweet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau d'Estoublon Roseblood Rose Coteaux Varois en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de L'Olivette Mare Nostrum IGP Mediterranee Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Libran L'Intimiste Rose Coteaux dAix en Provence 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bernard Magrez Bleu de Mer Rose Pays d'Oc 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Rose 2020 rosé · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosato 2021 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlantis Rose Madeirense 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Libran L'Intimiste Rose Coteaux dAix en Provence 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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