Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Durigutti HD Malbec Paraje Altamira 2023
red · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—50% below<1%
Belhara Estate Malbec Mendoza 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—49% below<1%
Old Soul Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—49% below<1%
Aliats Verdil Orange Wine Valencia 2024
red · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—49% below1%
Viore 5 Meses Toro 2019
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$5.03 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Beso Del Sol Red Sangria
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.24 $4.49 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%49% below2%
Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Punti Ferrer Reserva Pinot Noir Valle de Aconcagua 2023
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$8.99——49% below1%
Two Hands Gnarly Dudes Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$11.23 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.43 $46.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$32.93 $110 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Cielo Centanni Amarone della Valpolicella 2019
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Chalkboard Cabernet Sauvignon 2019
red · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—48% below<1%
Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.99——48% below1%
Martin Ray Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—48% below<1%
Casa de Cambres Reserva Tinto Douro 2018
red · Douro · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—48% below<1%
Fiery Love Tempranillo Spain 2020
red · 750 ml
$6.99 0.0%—48% below1%
Paolo e Noemia d'Amico Seiano Lazio Rosso 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—48% below<1%
Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—48% below1%
Furioso Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$19.99——48% below<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%▲ 34.6%48% below5%
North By Northwest Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$4.93 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—48% below<1%
Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Red Blend Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.59 0.0%—48% below6%
typically +6% if it rises
Barossa Valley Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Barossa Valley 2021
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$2.93 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—48% below<1%
Browne Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—48% below<1%
Buoy Ten Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$14.99——47% below1%
Marchese Luca Spinola Gavi del Comune di Tassarolo 2024
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$9.99——47% below1%
MontGras Antu Cabernet Sauvignon Las Araucarias Valle del Maipo 2023
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$10.99——47% below1%
Chateau d'Hanteillan Haut Medoc Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—47% below<1%
Podere Don Cataldo Negroamaro Salento 2022
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—47% below<1%
Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$31.43 $48.99 Clearance 0.0%—47% below1%
Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0% 0.0%47% below5%
typically +8% if it rises
McBride Sisters Collection Red Blend Central Coast 2020
red · Central Coast · 750 ml
$7.99——47% below1%
Carlo Rossi Smooth Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%47% below1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$57.99——47% below2%
Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—47% below<1%
Peachy Canyon Winery Incredible Red Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$10.99——47% below1%
Reino de Altuzarra Graciano Navarra 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.23 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—46% below<1%
Montes Alpha Syrah Colchagua Valley 2021
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—46% below<1%
Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—46% below<1%
Pine Ridge Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—46% below1%
Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale▼ 14.3%▲ 20.0%46% below7%
typically +9% if it rises
Chateau Canon Montsegur Oscar Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—46% below<1%
Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—46% below<1%
Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee Sonoma County 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.63 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$16.43 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019
red · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
La Purisima Monastrell Yecla 2020
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
Napa Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99——45% below12%
typically +5% if it rises
Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—45% below<1%
101–150 of 5,705← PreviousNext →