Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durigutti HD Malbec Paraje Altamira 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% below | <1% |
| Belhara Estate Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Old Soul Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Aliats Verdil Orange Wine Valencia 2024 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 49% below | 1% |
| Viore 5 Meses Toro 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Beso Del Sol Red Sangria red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 49% below | 2% |
| Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Punti Ferrer Reserva Pinot Noir Valle de Aconcagua 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 49% below | 1% |
| Two Hands Gnarly Dudes Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $11.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.43 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Cielo Centanni Amarone della Valpolicella 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chalkboard Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 48% below | 1% |
| Martin Ray Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Casa de Cambres Reserva Tinto Douro 2018 red · Douro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Fiery Love Tempranillo Spain 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 1% |
| Paolo e Noemia d'Amico Seiano Lazio Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 1% |
| Furioso Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.6% | 48% below | 5% |
| North By Northwest Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barossa Valley Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Buoy Ten Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Marchese Luca Spinola Gavi del Comune di Tassarolo 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 47% below | 1% |
| MontGras Antu Cabernet Sauvignon Las Araucarias Valle del Maipo 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Chateau d'Hanteillan Haut Medoc Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% below | <1% |
| Podere Don Cataldo Negroamaro Salento 2022 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% below | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.43 $48.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 47% below | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Collection Red Blend Central Coast 2020 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $7.99 | — | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Carlo Rossi Smooth Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 47% below | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | 47% below | 2% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 47% below | <1% |
| Peachy Canyon Winery Incredible Red Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Reino de Altuzarra Graciano Navarra 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.23 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Syrah Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Pine Ridge Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | 46% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Canon Montsegur Oscar Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| La Purisima Monastrell Yecla 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Napa Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | 45% below | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
101–150 of 5,705← PreviousNext →