Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocky Pond Eleven Dams Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $32.39 $53.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Le Crock Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Louise Vineyard Viognier Eola-Amity Hills 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Morgon Cote du Py 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Assalins Gigondas 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi CastelGiocondo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Haut Medoc d'Issan Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schramsberg Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Graham's Six Grapes Porto Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ken Wright Cellars AVA Series Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| G H Mumm Grand Cordon Champagne with 2 Glasses Gift Set sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.43 $50.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Henri Bourgeois La Porte du Caillou Sancerre Rouge 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Fiou Cuvee Silex Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Chataigniers Saint Veran 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lava Cap Cabernet Sauvignon El Dorado 2023 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three French Hens Pays d'Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Givry Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Motor City Kitty Syrah Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.03 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 3.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Caibourdin Les Racines Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Willamette Valley Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenock Creek Jaensch Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Scooter Merlot Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sleight Of Hand Cellars The Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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