Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pio Cesare Barbaresco 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecilia Nero d'Avola Noto 2018 red · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Red Blend 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabali Talud Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trinchero Forte Napa Valley 2014 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivens par Durfort Vivens Margaux 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voerzio Martini Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yann Chave Crozes Hermitage Classique 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Concreto Malbec Paraje Altamira 2019 red · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alex Chameau Le Chene Marchand Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Commune de la Mora 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bella Union Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Big Table Farm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $31.73 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 116% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan 100 Abades Graciano Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Janus Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Riesling Schoenenbourg Grand Cru 2019 white · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thenard Les Bois Cheveaux Givry 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chapelle Les Grand Climats Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Familia Escudero Solar de Becquer Gran Reserva Rioja 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria Felsina Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca de la Emperatriz Reserva Tinto Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flora Springs Trilogy Red Wine Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $33.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkasteler Lay Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $31.53 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $18.83 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kristof Estate Grown Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Biblioteca Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.39 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luigi Bosca DOC Malbec De Sangre Lujan 2020 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massolino Barolo Serralunga d'Alba 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Rocca di Castagnoli Buriano Cabernet Sauvignon Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc California 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Scrimaglio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Solena Estate Domaine Danielle Laurent Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton AVA 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Founders H Lloyd Miller Bordeaux Blend 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 163% premium | <1% |
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