Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Alexander Valley Vineyards Syrah Alexander Valley 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Franzia Rose
rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.49 $4.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.1%Fairly priced3%
Bel Colle Nuwanda Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2023
sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Pera Doce Premium Tinto Alentejano 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Talbott Chardonnay Kali Hart
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$20.99 0.0%▲ 5.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Ballatore Gran Spumante
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99▲ 18.2%▲ 30.0%Fairly priced3%
Luigi Einaudi Vigna Tecc Dogliani Superiore 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Pagos del Rey Condado de Oriza Ribera del Duero Gran Reserva 2014
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
WillaJory Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$16.99——Fairly priced1%
Pera Doce Premium Tinto Alentejano 2020
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chalk Hill Chardonnay Sonoma Coast
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%▲ 13.6%Fairly priced16%
typically +4% if it rises
Cheval Quancard Cuvee Clemence Entre Deux Mers 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Infinito Winemaker's Selection Malbec Mendoza 2018
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Avantis Estate Malagousia Evia 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.03 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cusumano Insolia Sicilia 2021
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Famiglia Bruno Langhe Nebbiolo 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paradis le Domaine Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Valoria Tempranillo Rioja Reserva 2014
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$11.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Arbuckle Ridge Morro Rock GSM Paso Robles 2023
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Du Toitskloof Sauvignon Blanc Western Cape 2025
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.99——Fairly priced1%
Viu Manent Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2021
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
7Cellars The Farm Collection Pinot Noir Monterey County 2021
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jim Barry The Lodge Hill Shiraz Clare Valley 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Double T Chardonnay Napa Valley
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $17.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Beringer Regional Estates Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.99——Fairly priced1%
Clos Pegase Rose Napa Valley 2020
rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Long Shadows Poet's Leap Riesling Columbia Valley 2020
white · Washington · 750 ml
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Pampelonne Cotes de Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cune Bela Ribera del Duero Tinto 2021
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jacques Depagneux Cuvee Louis Beaujolais Vieilles Vignes 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$11.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
David Finlayson Pepper Pot Coastal Region 2022
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
DiamAndes Perlita Malbec Syrah Uco Valley 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Imagery Elle Street Art Cabernet Sauvignon 2023
red · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Mosquita Muerta Cordero con Piel de Lobo Malbec Lujan de Cuyo 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Wild Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.39 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine De La Chezatte Bulles de Caillottes Extra Brut
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
Hoopes Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.99——Fairly priced1%
Marimar Estate Acero Unoaked Chardonnay Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2020
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tagaro Sei Caselle Negroamaro Salice Salentino 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Boutinot La Cote Sauvage Cairanne 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Villa San Juliette Chorum Red Wine Paso Robles 2017
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodega Malma Correntoso Malbec Patagonia 2024
red · 750 ml
$10.99——Fairly priced1%
Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2022
rosé · Oregon · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fabrice Larochette La Grande Bruyere Macon Fuisse 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Southern Gothic Collection Poor Boy Calatayud 2020
red · 750 ml
$6.93 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lunadoro Pagliareto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.03 $17.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Sunwine Tsinandali Georgia 2018
red · 750 ml
$3.73 $13.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Rosso dei Dardi Vino Rosso Italia 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hesketh Bright Young Things Sauvignon Blanc Limestone Coast 2024
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
951–1,000 of 6,416← PreviousNext →