Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decoy Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Decoy Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Sherry Cream dessert · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Sherry Dry dessert · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Black Box Dolce Semi Sweet Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Sangiovese red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Valpolicella Veneto red · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Croft Pink Port Douro Valley Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| La Crema Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +22% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat A Grown Up Stocking Stuffer Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Box Wize Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | 7% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Alasia Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Grand Reserve Chardonnay Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | 18% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rozes Porto Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Gold Buttery Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | 52% below | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bota Mini Sauvignon Blanc white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Box Wize Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hive and Honey Gewurztraminer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.49 $11.49 Sale | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Talbott Chardonnay Kali Hart white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mionetto Organic Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pierre Sparr Cremant d'Alsace Brut Rose sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Savory and James Deluxe Amontillado Medium Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vignerons de Mancey Cremant de Bourgogne Brut Reserve sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 15.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Strawberry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Turning Leaf Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 10% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Blackberry Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | 27% below | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| MD 20 20 Banana Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.0% | 56% below | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Korbel Sweet Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
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