Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nine Hats Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.73 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gallo Livingston Cellars Chablis Blanc white · Burgundy · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sweet Cheeks Winery and Vineyard Vintage Riesling Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blalock & Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butterfly Fields Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Riesling Feinherb Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Little Cricket Gruner Veltliner Pannon 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.43 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Chardonnay Vignetti delle Dolomiti 2023 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ballard Road Pinot Gris Oregon white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Pouilly Fuisse Grand Climats 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sancerre Blanc 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Astrolabe Pinot Gris Marlborough 2019 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borealis Vintners Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Demarie Luigi Arneis Vino Frizzante Bianco Roero Pet Nat 2020 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riunite Moscato d'Oro white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.79 $19.79 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Salmon Run Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 18.2% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave and Cove Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Larzac Saint Majan Languedoc Blanc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Moschofilero Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quadrum White Blend Spain white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Waterbrook Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Gold Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Pinot Gris Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joel Gott Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Yarden Chardonnay Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2023 white · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Herzog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| XXL Moscato Mango white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2025 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Casato Sauvignon Blanc Italy white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Savage Grace Riesling Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Thieves Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
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