Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michel Sarrazin Maranges Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $18.03 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Geyser Peak Walking Tree Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Couspaude Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger Prelude Champagne Brut Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Alize Red Passion red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2022 red · 750 ml | $94.99 | — | — | 62% premium | 1% |
| Domaine De La Janasse Chaupin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rambeaux Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laurence et Remi Dufaitre Premices Beaujolais Villages 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Mortier Brain de Folie Vin de France Rouge 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Granbazan Etiqueta Verde Albarino Rias Baixas 2018 white · Rias Baixas · 1500 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Martin Woods Jessie James Vineyard Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramey Woolsey Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.43 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.83 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 63% premium | 5% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Tourelles Vielles Vignes Carignan Bekaa Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Korbel Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 5.1% | ▲ 16.7% | 63% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bodegas Colome Autentico Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Perrier Cremant de Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lasorda Family Wines Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 63% premium | 1% |
| Long Shadows Cymbal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Long Shadows Feather Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.43 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel California 2020 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Elephant Seven Les Collines Vineyard Syrah 2021 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Collection Claret Cabernet Sauvignon Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Iron Horse Vineyards Audrey Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Daughters Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Port 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $148 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Laufaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Walker Bay 2019 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amador Medrano Finca Las Aguzaderas Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Oakcross Proprietary Red Oakville 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donum Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds St Henri Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Roland Lavantureux Chablis 1er Cru Vau de Vey 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hyland Estates Estate Chardonnay McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 65% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.59 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Tannat Uruguay Reserva 2023 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 65% premium | 1% |
| Caymus Suisun The Walking Fool Red Suisun Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | 65% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Limited Addition Wines Orange Crush White Blend Willamette Valley 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | 65% premium | <1% |
| Virginie de Valandraud Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.83 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 65% premium | <1% |
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