Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocky Pond Winery Stratastone Rhone Blend 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 1500 ml | $86.93 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Chimango Natural Rose Mendoza 2024 rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Cosme Gigondas 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $54.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Brunello di Montalcino 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | 59% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $191 | — | — | 59% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $151 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazelfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.39 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Odem Mountain Forest Red Blend 2023 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $432 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Dei Rosso di Montepulciano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.49 $38.49 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Smith and Hook Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Les Tetes Tete Orange Vin de France Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Estate Chardonnay white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 60% premium | 2% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Pommard Les Rugiens 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.93 $128 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Duval Leroy Femme De Champagne Grand Cru Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Exceptional Selections of California Red 4x375mL Variety Pack red · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Oc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Clifton Hill Vineyards Wahluke Slope 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Pinot Noir Heimbourg Alsace 2023 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | 60% premium | 1% |
| Lillet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 13.6% | ▲ 25.0% | 60% premium | 1% |
| Meyer Grauerburgunder Loss Pfalz Trocken 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solnato Rosso Roma 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prats and Symington Post Scriptum Douro 2022 red · Douro · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Prospice Mervina Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raymond Generations Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Ama Chianti Classico Riserva Montebuoni 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Private Collection Red Durbanville 2022 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Brut MV4 Dundee Hills sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Latour Pinot Noir Bourgogne red · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Hess Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Allomi Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Etude Carneros Pinot Gris 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Villa Cerna Primocolle Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 15 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $47.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flora Springs Trilogy Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giannecchini Family Vineyard Old Vine Zinfandel Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Cream Sherry dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 1% |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie 2x750 mL white · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| La Vie Rouge du Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 61% premium | 1% |
| COS Zibibbo In Pithos Terre Siciliane 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Arrowood Reserve Speciale Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2014 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
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