Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Black Chicken Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 10.6% | ▲ 15.0% | 55% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aveleda Solos de Xisto Vinho Verde Alvarinho 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Trotte Vieille Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $130 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Clos Windsbuhl Pinot Gris Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Old Vine Ranch Old Vine Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Borgogno Dolcetto d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Caywood East Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Mateus Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 45.5% | 56% premium | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $155 | — | — | 57% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Monnalisa Sangiovese di Romagna Superiore red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argyros Atlantis White Santorini 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $600 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Sanford and Benedict Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Maverick Ranches Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $21.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Lucashof Pet Nat 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $400 | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Oc 2022 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Via Gravonia Crianza Blanco Rioja 2016 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $49.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lascombes Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $111 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freeman Vineyard and Winery Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Little Goat Creek Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rio Sordo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lustau San Emilio PX Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Ram's Gate Sauvignon Blanc Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.73 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Doyard Revolution Non Dose Blanc de Blancs Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Tura Mountain Vista Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blue Nun Authentic White Rhinehessen white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 2.9% | 58% premium | 1% |
| Hob Nob Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.6% | 58% premium | 1% |
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | 1% |
| Calera de Villiers Vineyards Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2020 red · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Banfi Poggio Alle Mura Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $162 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
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