Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 50% premium | 4% |
| Ponzi Vineyards Laurelwood Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Madre Plavac Mali Dalmatia Croatia Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Diora Estate Grown La Grande Majeste Pinot Noir San Bernabe Vineyard Monterey 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | 1% |
| Dios Baco Esnobista Moscatel Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | 1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $30.93 $108 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Lavau Rasteau 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2011 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quilt Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.43 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruta 22 Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Coste di Rose 2017 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hecht and Bannier Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Organic 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Ca' Liptra Arancio Vino Bianco Marche 2019 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dubonnet Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Mas Cremat L'Envie Organic Cotes du Roussillon Rouge 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Cecchi Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 35.3% | 52% premium | 5% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fritz Muller Rose Secco rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Smith and Hook Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Unshackled Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Chocolate in a Bottle Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Harvey's Bristol Cream Sherry dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.63 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 52% premium | 1% |
| Txomin Etxaniz TX Getariako Txakolina 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Lydian Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Marimar Estate Syrah Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $146 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 2% |
| Juxtapoz Red Blend North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Cape Coast 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Starmont Sauvignon Blanc Lake County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Clouston and Co Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Pedro Ximenez Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 5% |
| Qupe Grenache Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Sparkling Chardonnay sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Servin Massale Selection Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Semeli Armonia Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $132 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Havens Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Malvira Renesio Roero Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
9,101–9,150 of 9,968← PreviousNext →