Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time and Direction Wines Binary Syrah Walla Walla 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time and Direction Wines UpUpDownDownLeftRightLeftRightBASelectStart Grenache Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tinto Pesquera Crianzado Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tinto Rey Estate Bottled Tempranillo Dunnigan Hills 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tiny Pink Bubbles Prosecco Rose Extra Dry 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 1% |
| Tio Pepe Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Titan Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Toad Hollow Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Toasted Head Chardonnay Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 8% premium | 1% |
| Togonidze Mtsvane Rkatsiteli Georgia Dry Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tohu Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Toi Toi Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Toi Toi Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19% premium | 1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Lilly White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Mama's Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tolino Vineyards Rad Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tomasello Winery Bing Cherry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tomasello Winery Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Broomstick Brew Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% below | 5% |
| Tomasello Winery Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Fruit Moscato 4x375 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 1% |
| Tomasello Winery Natural Blackberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Red Raspberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Tangerine Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tomasello Winery Watermelon Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Top Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | ▼ 10.0% | ▼ 18.2% | 24% below | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Top Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Torbreck Cuvee Juveniles Red Blend Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Steading GSM Red Blend Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Steading Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie 2022 red · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutter's Semillon Barossa Valley 2022 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutter's Shiraz Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Semillon Barossa Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck the Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tornatore Etna Bianco Pietrarizzo 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Torraiolo Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Torre Mora Cauru Etna Rosso 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Torre Oria Pinot Noir Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Torre de Ermelo Albarino Rias Baixas 2021 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Torre de Ona Finca San Martin Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torre de Ona Rioja Crianza Finca San Martin 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torres Sangre de Toro Original 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torresella Pinot Grigio Venezia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
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