Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau de la Greffiere Chardonnay Macon Milly Lamartine 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| M Minuty Cotes de Provence Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 3.9% | 0.0% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Bruna Grimaldi Barolo Camilla 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Gros Nore Bandol Rouge 2019 red · Provence · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karavitakis Kompsos Liatiko Crete Greece Red 2024 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Jet Black Syrah Horse Heaven Hills 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Benchland Select Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $109 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Three Hills Cuvee Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Laurent Perrier Champagne Brut Rose Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $99.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 48% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $50.99 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Pierre Marie Chermette Coeur de Vendanges Beaujolais Rouge Vignes Centenaires 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mont Rubi L'Ancestral Blanc Pet Nat Penedes 2021 white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi San Angelo Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 13.9% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $68.53 $91.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Quinta da Lagoalva de Cima Gran Reserva Alfrocheiro 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Ste Michelle Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Carpineta Fontalpino Do Ut Des Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Gran Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Sweet Red Brachetto red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 49% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Pinot Noir Grand Reserve red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 49% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Diemersdal Pinotage Reserve Durbanville 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Domaine des Chenevieres La Baronne Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Julia La Oveja Natural Torrontes Maipu 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Oveja Natural Torrontes Maipu 2024 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Classic Niederoesterreich 2017 sparkling · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Lazy River Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Viognier Dox Vinas Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Eric Louis Cul de Loup Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Adelsheim Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amos Baneres Hey Penedes 2020 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Rose in Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $450 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bodegas Ramon Bilbao Mirto Rioja Alta 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dunham Red Blend Trutina Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Mt Beautiful North Canterbury Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Adrianna Vineyard White Bones Chardonnay Mendoza 2020 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Mont Redon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Six Hats Porkpie Red Blend Piekenierskloof 2015 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 50% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2021 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
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