Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amador Medrano Finca Las Aguzaderas Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Nebbiolo d'Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Anderson Valley Two Creeks Vineyards 2020 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castellare Chianti Classico 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Volpaia Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Pegaso Red Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Arnoux Pere et Fils Les Confrelins Chorey Les Beaune Bourgogne Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Montchovet Hautes Cotes de Beaune Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Geyser Peak Walking Tree Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | <1% |
| Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grevino Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manderschied Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2020 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $16.53 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Riesling Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Worthy Cabernet Sauvignon Sophia's Cuvee Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Ascheri Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bovio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34% below | <1% |
| Cesari Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains 1er Cru Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.13 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Montchovet Longbois Beaune Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Huet Le Haut Lieu Vouvray Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Familia Schroeder Malbec Patagonia 2017 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize les Creuzettes Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2010 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Brut Champagne Millesime 2014 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Lydian Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Merryvale Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Pasquale Pelissero Barbaresco Bricco San Giuliano 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Paul Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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