Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chronic Cellars Sir Real Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Trivento Maximum Red Blend Reserve Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bruno Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Late Bottled Vintage Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dezzani Il Cavaliere Barbera Piemonte 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trabacco Pecorino d'Abruzzo Box 2020 white · Abruzzo · 3000 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery The Devil Makes Three Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Turpin Cuvee Domaine Menetou Salon 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Selection de la Hante Chenas 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark Ryan Winery Board Track Speed Racer Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cook's California Champagne Brut sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Kiona Vineyards Merlot Red Mountain Estate Bottled 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lodi Ave Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luis Marin Amethyst Edition Old Vine Garnacha Crianza Carinena 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Feisty Citrus Inspiration Orange Blossom Dry Mead 2016 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terras Gauda Abadia de San Campio Rias Baixas 2023 red · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Vullien et Fils Jacquere Savoie Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fanti Poggio Torto Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Unshackled Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | ▼ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gran Alanis Castes Blancas Ribeiro 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penley Estate Phoenix Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chacabuco Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mingle Blackberry Hibiscus Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bodegas Balbas Ardal Roble Ribera del Duero 2023 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Borsao Esteem Campo de Borja 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Depagneux Cuvee Louis Beaujolais Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quid Pro Quo Red Alentejo 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Browne Family Heritage Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuatro Rayas Vendimia Nocturna Verdejo Rueda 2024 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Presque Isle Wine Cellars Creekside Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Egri Bikaver Bulls Blood Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.39 $10.39 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cocobon Vineyards Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Degli Dei Le Redini Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House Wine Mountain Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barrelaia Prima Collezione Orvieto Classico 2025 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Lensiome Gigondas Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Dominique Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rivallana Rioja Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vistalba Tomero Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Scandalous One Cabernet Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Segura Viudas Cava Organic Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Legado del Moncayo Vendimia Seleccionada Montana Campo De Borja 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 3 Castas Reserva 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Camille Cayran La Grande Reserve Cru Cairanne 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jim Barry The Cover Drive Cabernet Sauvignon Coonwarra 2020 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North By Northwest Cabernet Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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