Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maison l'Envoye Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco NV sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Zonin Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.20 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Facts Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Aravail Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Franzia Fruity Red Sangria red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Produttori di Manduria Electric Bee Primitivo red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Terra Viva Sangiovese Marche red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Unapologetically Zin Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 31% below | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Sangiovese Superiore Riserva Romagna red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ca Furlan Cuvee Beatrice Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Charles Krug Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 35% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Hearth red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Riunite Moscato d'Oro white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.79 $19.79 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Stony Run Winery Semi Sweet Riesling Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Parini Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.09 | 0.0% | — | 14% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Alvear PX Sherry Spain dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cline Cellars Ancient Vines Zinfandel Contra Costa County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Butternut Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Maison De Madeleine Brut Vin Mousseux France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| It's a Head Snapper Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Dry Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Duplin Black River Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 38% below | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Hi Prosecco Extra Dry Non Vintage sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | 34% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| J Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Banfi Rosa Regale White Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Do Epic SHT Sparkling Brut Non Vintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bee You Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Black Box Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Black Box Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Leelanau Cellars Cold Duck Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Poggio Anima Asmodeus Nero d'Avola Sicilia red · Sicily · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Poggio Anima Samael Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Box Wize Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | 24% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Dolce Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Gold Sparkling 2x750 mL Multipack sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Apothic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| A to Z Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Macon Villages Chardonnay white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Warre's Warrior Reserve Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tio Pepe Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Apothic White Winemaker's Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
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