Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 1000 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Riesling Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Relax Riesling Twin Pack 2x750mL white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| 75 Wine Company Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Remy Lefevre Macon Villages Chardonnay 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sand Point Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Pauly Bergweiler Bernkasteler Badstube Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bartenura Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Buttonwood Grove Winery Riesling Tank Select Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Sauvignon Blanc Colchagua Valley Estate 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Excelsior Sauvignon Blanc Robertson 2024 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Lyngrove Collection Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walnut Block Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Pure Bright Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Moonlite White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 38.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Spring Gate Sweet White Pennsylvania white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Terranoble Classic Chardonnay Valle Central 2018 white · 750 ml | $4.53 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Petit Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hermann Moser Love Over Money Green Eyes Gruner Veltliner 2024 white · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yellow Tail Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $7.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Box Wize Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Clos Pegase Mitsuko's Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2022 white · Provence · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Riviere Lacoste Graves Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Riesling Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Katie's Creek White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Riesling Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Josh Cellar Reserve Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Spain white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bar Dog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chatelain Desjacques Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clay Shannon El Coyote Chardonnay Lake County 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Cape Coast 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Sauvignon Blanc Central Otago 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arona Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $12.58 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Estate Unoaked Chardonnay Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominique Crochet Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 white · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $143 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valenzano Red White and Blueberry Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Henri Bourgeois Les Baronnes Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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