Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maison Jean Loron Beau Beaujolais 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ottosoldi Gavi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Q Red Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guerriero Aglianico Beneventano 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vespa Rosso dei Vespa Primitivo Di Manduria 2021 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cherry Pie Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hundred Suns Old Eight Cut Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lambert Estate The Commitment Shiraz Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Aligote Bouzeron 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majella Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Valpolicella Superiore Classico 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aldeya Tinto Carinena 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andeluna Raices Cabernet Sauvignon Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calanica Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anderson Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonpiqueyre Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Esprit de Pavie Bordeaux Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monte del Fra Ca del Magro Custoza Superiore 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paxis Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lamartine Cuvee Particuliere Cahors 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca del Marquesado Tempranillo Rioja 2024 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Misfits and Mavens Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nuiton Beaunoy Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Palacio de Otono Reserva Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Ordonez Triton Tinta de Toro Old Vines Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borreo Single Vineyard Sangiovese Rosa Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Krug Peter Mondavi Family Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.73 $143 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve 2x750 mL Gift Pack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nicodemi Le Murate Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Colline Teramane 2018 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ravanal Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Secret Reserve Red Blend Central Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca La Anita Cabernet Sauvignon Agrelo Luna Single Vineyard Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Styring Vineyards Signature Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dionysos Fileri Trifilia 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Decero Malbec Agrelo 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Blend Golan Heights Israel 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| One Stone Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
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