Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley Estate 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ca di Pesa Chianti Classico Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Sulpice Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau St Jean Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Domaines Des Quatre Vents Fleurie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Mionetto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Casa Maschito Basilicata Rosso 2017 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Apogee Pepper Bridge Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Rocca delle Macie Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.0% | 42% premium | 2% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $215 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| J Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinetta Vermentino Toscana 2025 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Succession Wines Sauvignon Blanc Ancient Lakes Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Weis Gruner Veltliner Finger Lakes 2025 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| Beringer Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hacienda de Arinzano Tempranillo Rose Navarra 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pico Maccario Lavignone Barbera d'Asti 2022 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Tradition Bandol Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kloster Eberbach Crescentia Steinberger Riesling Rheingau Kabinett 2019 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Warrior Reserve Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Argyros Atlantis Red Santorini 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Jean Ernest Descombes Morgon Cote du Puy 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time and Direction Wines Binary Syrah Walla Walla 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Nipozzano Chianti Riserva Rufina 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Orange Gold made with Organic Grapes Vin de France 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Claude Riffault Mosaique Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.43 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| Funckenhausen Malbec Mendoza La Espera 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Party Pouch Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Zorrito Natural Orange Wine Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Vigneti Monte Sant'Urbano Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Riesling Estate Reserve Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alamos Seleccion Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 43% premium | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delille Cellars D2 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gavalas Vinsanto Santorini 2013 red · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Nero a Meta Campania Bianco 2019 white · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Sparkling Niagara Lehigh Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | — | — | 43% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Spinona Sori Gepin Barolo Bergera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
8,851–8,900 of 9,968← PreviousNext →