Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sparkling Infusions Strawberry and Kiwi sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Collonges Chardonnay Beaujolais Blanc 2024 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Trione River Road Ranch Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Vina Robles Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yarden Petit Verdot Golan Heights 2017 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ava Grace Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bryn Mawr Vineyards Brut Rose Willamette Valley sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Haart Riesling Estate 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirassou Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 40% premium | 2% |
| Tenute Silvio Nardi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Viarae Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 4.8% | ▲ 5.3% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Acrobat Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $61.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Shiraz South Australia 2022 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 4.2% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Carl Reh Riesling Piesporter Michelserg Spatlese white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 38.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kristof Estate Grown Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Chardonnay Elgin 2019 white · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2020 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 3% |
| Lungarotti Rosso di Torgiano Rubesco 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2023 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $50.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Tetes Les Parcelles Tete Nat Orange Vin de France Sparkling 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | 41% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Nickel and Nickel Cabernet Sauvignon Vaca Vista Oak Knoll Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $130 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cellars Unio Tendral Seleccion Red Priorat 2018 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 41% premium | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jules Taylor Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Le Grand Chemarin Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 2% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.73 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| J Harden Cabernet Sauvignon California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Rose Twin Pack 2x750mL rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Nickel and Nickel Cabernet Sauvignon CC Ranch Rutheford Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $130 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schlumberger Gruner Veltliner Niederoesterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | 1% |
| Pra Morandina Valpolicella Ripasso Superiore 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pulenta Estate Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Succession Wines Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Ava Grace Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
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