Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Felipe Edwards Marea Sauvignon Blanc Leyda Valley 2024 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | 1% |
| Punset Barbaresco Campo Quadro 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominio Los Pinos La Sort 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Director?s Cut Red Blend Cinema Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | 1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bolla Amarone Della Valpolicella Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | ▲ 0.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grgich Hills Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Jules Taylor Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Parker Estate Terra Rossa Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Basel Cellars Merriment Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $144 $231 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rieussec Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2022 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| David Finlayson Chenin Blanc Old Vine Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Els Vinyerons Lluerna Xarel lo Penedes 2020 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Layer Cake Jampacked Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Raeburn High Flier Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgo Paglianetto Petrara Verdicchio di Matelica 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Whiskey Barrel Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $19.49 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | — | 39% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 39% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2019 white · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lajver Incognito Kekfrankos Hungary 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Dragonette Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Ramon Bilbao Limited Edition Garnacha red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riley's Rows Pinot Noir North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Lucashof Petillant Naturel Pfalz 2021 sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Marea Chardonnay Valle de Leyda 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Open Claim Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete Red Blend California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rio Sordo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veramonte Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 3% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Franc red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 40% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Phantom Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 9.1% | — | 40% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Fourcas Hosten Listrac Medoc Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.93 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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