Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Shore Wine Company Sparkling Riesling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | 1% |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo di Chianti Classico dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chalone Vineyard Estate Grown Chardonnay Chalone 2022 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GoGi 29 Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2016 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine du Duc de Magenta Clos de La Chapelle Monopole Chassagne Montrachet Morgeot1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | 37% premium | 2% |
| Savage Grace Skin Contact Gewurztraminer Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Breca Garnacha Calatayud 2017 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Athena Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Scott Bla Bla Bla Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kindzmaurali Red Wine Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company The Prisoner Red California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bell'Agio Chianti red · Tuscany · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 14.5% | ▲ 26.7% | 37% premium | 1% |
| Brooks Winery Cahiers Riesling Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | — | — | 37% premium | 1% |
| Mark West Black Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% premium | 3% |
| Wellsley Farms Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Castello di Volpaia Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Wonders Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 33% typically +5% if it rises |
| Donum Pinot Noir Carneros Sonoma County 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| El Coto Rioja Crianza red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▼ 6.8% | ▼ 2.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calafe Irpinia Rosato 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Sauvignon Blanc Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| San Filippo Lo Scorno Rosso di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Victoria Ordonez Jabega Rosado Malaga 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Togonidze Mtsvane Rkatsiteli Georgia Dry Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.09 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Metz Road Pinot Noir Riverview Vineyard Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bagueri Sparkling Brut Slovenia sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 1% |
| Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Bodyguard Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decibel Sauvignon Blanc Hawke's Bay 2023 white · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 1% |
| Rainstorm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 5.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Zuccardi Q Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Potensac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 $42.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Granite Terroir Blend Dao 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Arundel Cellars Falcon Red Lake Erie red · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 38% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Eshcol Ranch Red Blend Trefethen Vineyards red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sherwood Estate Sauvignon Blanc Waipara Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 38% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2017 red · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fleur de Prairie Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 6.1% | ▲ 31.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.21 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
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