Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine FL La Fremine Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tropical Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Zoinos Brut Epirus 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvaison Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabien Jouves Haute Cote de Fruit Malbec Cahors 2023 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saracina Soul of Mendocino Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Walter Hansel Cahill Lane Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $30.53 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auntsfield Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Unshackled Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | ▼ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Acclivity Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cordero di Montezemolo Langhe Arneis 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dupeuble Beaujolais Rouge 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.43 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Morgon 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.13 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sagemoor Without Rehearsal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Philippe de Rothchild Escudo Rojo Carmenere Colchagua Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2022 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Hi Prosecco Extra Dry Non Vintage sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | 34% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Sasyr Tuscan Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chandon Rose rosé · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $76.53 $151 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ixsir Grande Reserve Red 2017 red · 750 ml | $18.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Our Daily Red Organic Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | 1% |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 47.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Appellation San Carlos Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| HER Shiraz Western Cape South Africa red · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Corton Pougets Grand Cru Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $48.93 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Val delle Rose Morellino di Scansano Rosamante 2022 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villota Selvanevada Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bouchaine Estate Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maquis Lien Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Mont Perat Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1500 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Manzanilla 5 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mouton Cadet Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Pet Nat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Boedecker Cellars Stewart Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Robles Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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