Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine de Fabregues Chateau de Vissandre Languedoc Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Parini Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.09 | 0.0% | — | 14% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Portlandia Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Arado Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 1% |
| Aravail Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| LaLuca Prosecco Rose 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 1% |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Walker Bay 2020 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% below | <1% |
| Little Sheep of France Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 3% |
| Paul Cheneau Brut Cava Penedes sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13% below | 7% typically +19% if it rises |
| Almaden Chablis white · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 13% below | 1% |
| Box Wize Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | ▲ 8.8% | 12% below | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Nicolas Maillart Platine Champagne Extra Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12% below | 5% typically +17% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Gamay Rose Coteaux Bourguignons 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% below | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 12% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Fives Reserve Pinotage Robertson 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% below | <1% |
| Sampietrana Tacco Barocco Primitivo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 12% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 12% below | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Brut sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 12% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Villa des Anges Rose Cinsault Pays d'Oc Old Vines 2022 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% below | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Albert Besombes Les Anges Sauvignon Blanc Val de Loire 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11% below | 1% |
| Wimmer Gruner Veltliner 2021 white · 1000 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | 11% below | 1% |
| La Terre White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 11% below | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| St Christopher Piesporter Goldtropfchen Kabinett Mosel Riesling 2022 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| Villa des Anges Rose Cinsault Pays d'Oc Old Vines 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch Box 2021 white · Western Cape · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Vinha da Fonte Vinho Tinto Vinho Regional Peninsula de Setubal 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Pinot Noir Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Rose Piccolo Burgenland 2019 sparkling · 187 ml | $3.73 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Ballard Road Pinot Noir Rose Oregon rosé · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Vigilance Chardonnay North Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Sauvignon Blanc Tupungato 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Peter Vella Chablis white · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 10% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bodegas Leza Garcia Valdepalacios Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Cave and Cove Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| I Castelli Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Willems Willems Auf de Lauer Feinherb Riesling Saar Oberemmel 2023 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Kalyana Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Jammy Red Roo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% below | 4% |
| Franzia Refreshers Wild Berry Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | 1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains 1er Cru Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.13 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Torrontes Salta 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Herault 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Bota Brick Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 9% below | 1% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 9% below | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 8% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
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