Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindeman's Bin 45 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 50 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $300 | 0.0% | — | 226% premium | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hungry Run Cellars Red Raspberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Pouilly Fume white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot Monterey County Aged in Rum Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +3% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Rum Barrel Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Parini Prosecco Rose Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Natural Blackberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Mionetto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pio Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.43 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Martini and Rossi Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ruffino Lumina Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Meiomi Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Warre's Heritage Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Warre's Kings Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Brilla Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Prosecco DOC Treviso Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cavit Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 28% below | 7% typically +22% if it rises |
| Ruggeri Argeo Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Codorniu Limited Edition Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Segura Viudas Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | 51% below | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| BonAnno Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Special Reserve Ruby Port with 2 Glasses Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Peter Zemmer Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Franc red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 40% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bartenura Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Rose Sparkling Wine Semi Sweet sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Sparkling White Wine Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Sparkling White Wine Semi Sweet sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Autumn Frost Blackberry Red Blend Wine Spritzer red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Conti Torraiolo Sangiovese red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Creative Juice Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Firefly Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Firefly Ridge Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Le Altane Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| O Organics Organic Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bailly Lapierre Pinot Noir Cremant de Bourgogne sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Fine Ruby Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | ▼ 4.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Amber Natural Organic Wine White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | 39% below | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Paua Rock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
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