Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2015
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Schramsberg Vineyards Mirabelle Brut Rose North Coast
sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.64 $33.29 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.0%Fairly priced1%
Vaona Pegrandi Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Veuve Clicquot Champagne Demi Sec
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$62.99 0.0%▲ 21.2%Fairly priced8%
typically +10% if it rises
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$39.99▲ 37.9%—Fairly priced3%
Iron Horse Wedding Cuvee Green Valley 2017
red · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$32.53 $63.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
K Vintners The Deal Wahluke Slope 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pomerol by Clinet 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Vignoble Dauny Clos du Roy Sancerre Blanc 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Giovanni Rosso Barolo 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Abstract Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Peju Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley Legacy Collection
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +6% if it rises
Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2024
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$26.99 $28.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$64.99▼ 18.8%▼ 7.1%Fairly priced24%
typically +4% if it rises
Castoro Cellars Reserve Charbono Whale Rock Vineyard Paso Robles 2020
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Charbonniere Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023
white · Rhone · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$68.99 $72.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Eden Valley 2024
white · Barossa · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2019
red · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
TOP SOURCE Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Prisoner Wine Company Saldo Zinfandel California
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$31.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced11%
typically +6% if it rises
Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$28.99——Fairly priced1%
Ita Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz Australia 2021
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$29.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Truchard Merlot Carneros Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
Casa Santos Lima Red Blend Lisboa Box 2019
red · 3000 ml
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Drappier Champagne Brut Nature
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$39.03 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$64.49 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Patz and Hall Chardonnay Sonoma Coast
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%▼ 12.5%Fairly priced12%
typically +6% if it rises
Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2015
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$33.73 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.99 $29.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Boroli Barolo Classico 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$47.99 $52.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$10.93 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ken Wright Cellars Bonnie Jean Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016
red · 750 ml
$47.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paitin Serraboella Barbaresco 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Neyers Sage Canyon Red 2021
red · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021
white · Sicily · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2025
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml
$26.99——Fairly priced1%
Borgogno Barolo 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
H Blin Tradition Brut Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.03 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.5%Fairly priced1%
Neyers Chardonnay Carneros 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
851–900 of 2,525← PreviousNext →