Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schramsberg Vineyards Mirabelle Brut Rose North Coast sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.64 $33.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vaona Pegrandi Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Champagne Demi Sec sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.2% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | ▲ 37.9% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Iron Horse Wedding Cuvee Green Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.53 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners The Deal Wahluke Slope 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomerol by Clinet 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vignoble Dauny Clos du Roy Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giovanni Rosso Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peju Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley Legacy Collection white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2024 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $28.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▼ 18.8% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Charbono Whale Rock Vineyard Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.99 $72.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Eden Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Saldo Zinfandel California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ita Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Truchard Merlot Carneros Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Red Blend Lisboa Box 2019 red · 3000 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Drappier Champagne Brut Nature sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patz and Hall Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boroli Barolo Classico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.99 $52.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Bonnie Jean Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paitin Serraboella Barbaresco 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Neyers Sage Canyon Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2025 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Borgogno Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| H Blin Tradition Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.03 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Neyers Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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